We specualte wildly about Stanford admits round 1, Stanford’s posted stats about number of kids interviewed,and what it means for Rounds 2 and 3

 Do you know how many people Stanford admitted in R1?

Given this is approaching the R2 decision date, I’m wondering how many seats are available in R2.

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see below, but bottom line is 1. Either Bolton’s blog post of Feb is understated (so he can play good guy and invite more kids) or 2. They will take more kids off WL and Round 3 than usual, or 3. Who the **** knows, but something dont add up.

Talmudic and wildly speculative disc about Stanford Interview, Round one admits,and remaining spots  below. Back and forth between me and quant star in the making. You might want to read bottom up.

The factoids we know are: Round One facebook accepts were 228 (for what that is worth, see below); Stan has usually admitted 450-490 kids (total)  to get class of  370 (http://www.gsb.stanford.edu/knightcenter/faq/index.html#class) ; Bolton said this about Round Two admissions in Feb

As of this morning, we have invited 275 second-round candidates to interview. We will extend an additional 100-125 interview invitations to second-round candidates in the next couple of weeks. During that same period, we plan to interview some of the first-round candidates who accepted spots on the waitlist without having interviewed. I hope this is helpful, Derrick

and this about Round One admissions in December

As of mid-week, we have extended around 400 interview invitations to first round candidates. We expect to invite an additional 150-200 applicants to interview in the next few weeks, as we read and evaluate first round applications before the notification deadline of 22 January 2009. On the January 22 first round notification deadline, we also may ask 50-100 applicants to join the waitlist without having been interviewed, and may interview those candidates later. I hope this is helpful. Best wishes for the holiday season. Derrick

I dont trust Bolton’s planned interview numbers, for R2, which are prob. under-stated, just because he would rather over deliver.
They also seem to be interviewing LOTSA r2 kids fr. just what I am seeing w. clients and mock interview reqsts (altho anecdotal, sure).
 Amid the many other unconfirmed numbers, not sure what to make of this.
The 228 figure fr. facebook, if that is being administered by Stan adcom, seems sorta reliable.
Usually they take MORE kids R2 than R1, altho that cld change this year b.c. pattern at some schools was for TON of R1 apps, and then level off of R2 apps to last year levels. What makes more sense to me is 228 admits R1, 210-230 admits r2 and dunno about r3. but that wld get them to historical 450 admits. Often r3 admits are in single digits.
The only thing that does not compute in this scenairio is Bolton claim in Feb of 275 int sent w. 100-125 to come. I just think that 100-125 number was understated. My guess, it will be more like 200 more. I think they sorta interview 1100-1200 kids a year, no matter what they say.

Bolton said that they would interview 550-600 Round 1.  (Post said 400 extended plus 150-200 more to come).  I had heard (I believe somewhere on these message boards) that R1 admits were 228, resulting in an interview acceptance rate of 38 – 41%. 
If Round 2 interviews are between 375-400, then that would translate to between 143 and 166 admits (based on the same interview acceptance rate). 
Assuming 30 or so R3 admits, that would mean total max admits (228 R1 + 166 R2 + 30 R3) of ~425, which seems low, considering that Stanford’s yield is around 80%.  They would need to admit around 450 to get a class of 360.
OK all these numbers are fishy and vague (ie R1 admit number, number of interviews never really confirmed), but it seems like they are interviewing far too few R2 guys.  Why would that be?  Perhaps alums said “no more interviews plz!!!!!” and they decided to interview less people and admit a higher percentage of R2 interviewees but that seems doubtful (and too difficult to carry out anyways).  One explanation is that looking at R1 vs R2 quality, they realized that R1 was a bit better upon closer inspection (yes yes I know R2 is in before R1 decisions released), perhaps “underaccepted” out of the R1 pool, and decided that they would use the R1 waitlist more extensively at the R2 deadline.  What do you think?!?

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